Blog Archive

Vanity Projects Always Collapse

Initiatives driven by executive ego rather than clear objectives drain resources and guarantee failure. A strategic breakdown of why whim is the enemy of value.

When Profitable Systems Break

Insurers like Humana profited from a flawed Medicare Advantage payment model. Now, a government crackdown exposes the regulatory risk and causes stock implosion.

The Market Is Not Broken It Is Fixed

Decades of unchecked mergers created a fertilizer oligopoly. This market structure allows a few firms to exploit supply shocks for massive profits, driving up food prices.

The Anatomy of a Frozen Market

Homeowners with sub-4% mortgages are staying put, creating a gridlock. We analyze the slow decay of these rates and the long-term damage from past Fed policy.

The Dollar’s Slow Bleed

The US dollar’s share of global reserves is at a 31-year low. It’s not a collapse, but a rational diversification by central banks away from US deficits.

Alcohol’s Unprofitable Hangover

US winemakers and beer brewers face an existential crisis as alcohol consumption plummets. A structural shift in consumer behavior threatens entire industries.

China Is a Platform Not a Factory

Western analysis of China’s tech sector is flawed. It’s not a top-down command economy but a platform state that engineers hyper-competition to build national power.

The Feds Bill Comes Due

The Fed’s operating losses are shrinking but reveal the deep fiscal cost of unwinding quantitative easing. This is the inescapable price of normalization.

Connect with me

I don't have a newsletter, but I share daily thoughts and updates on social media.