Blog Archive

The Inflationary AI Boom

AI is supposed to be deflationary, but it’s now a key driver of PCE inflation through chip prices and software subscriptions. Here’s the overlooked mechanism.

The 48-Day Warning

Micron’s record-breaking sprint from $500B to $1T in 48 trading days hides a dangerous liquidity trap that most investors ignore.

The Hidden Cost Sinking Condo Prices

Condo prices are dropping up to 33% in major US markets. The real story? Hidden operating costs making condo ownership unsustainable.

The Insurance Trap Crushing Condo Values

Condo prices in hurricane-prone markets have plunged 33% due to an insurance cost spiral, not interest rates. This structural shift changes ownership math.

The Tax Trap Skewing Bond Inflation Warnings

TIPS have a hidden tax drag that skews inflation expectations lower than actual. The 2.4% breakeven is systematically biased downward.

The Perverse Cycle Driving Mortgage Rates

The government’s plan to lower mortgage rates by having Fannie Mae buy MBS is backfiring. Here’s the hidden mechanism that makes it worse.

The AI Wealth Mirage in Housing

San Francisco’s housing market is defying national declines thanks to AI stock wealth. But this is a temporary illusion hiding a deeper correction.

The Hidden Cost of Cheap Debt Maturity

When low-coupon Treasury bonds mature, they are refinanced at much higher yields. This hidden rollover cost is a growing fiscal burden driving yields higher.

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